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媒体:中俄天然气达成协议系大势所趋

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2018年12月11日 05:57:35
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(  新)(华)(网)(北)(京)(5月)(20日)(电)((记)(者)(安)(蓓)(王)(希)(桂)(涛)()正)(在)(上)(海)(举)(行)(的)(中)(俄)(高)(层)(会)(面)(中)(,外)(界)(高)(度)(关)(注)(的)(中)(俄)(东)(线)(天)(然)(气)(项)(目)(并)(未)(签)(署)(最)(终)(协)(议)(。分)(析)(人)(士)(指)(出)(,最)(终)(协)(议)(的)(达)(成)(是)(大)(势)(所)(趋)(,但)(仍)(然)(需)(要)(一)(定)(时)(间)(。
  俄)(方)(在)(两)(国)(领)(导)(人)(的)(会)(谈)(中)(表)(示)(,双)(方)(就)(东)(线)(天)(然)(气)(项)(目)(价)(格)(谈)(判)(取)(得)(重)(要)(进)(展)(,愿)(本)(着)(互)(利)(互)(惠)(原)(则)(同)(中)(方)(尽)(早)(达)(成)(最)(终)(协)(议)(。
  中)(国)(与)(俄)(罗)(斯)(20日)(签)(署)(的)(联)(合)(声)(明)(提)(出)(,建)(立)(全)(面)(的)(能)(源)(合)(作)(伙)(伴)(关)(系)(,进)(一)(步)(深)(化)(石)(油)(领)(域)(一)(揽)(子)(合)(作)(,尽)(快)(启)(动)(俄)(对)(华)(供)(应)(天)(然)(气)(,以)(开)(发)(俄)(境)(内)(煤)(矿)(和)(发)(展)(交)(通)(基)(础)(设)(施)(等)(方)(式)(扩)(大)(煤)(炭)(领)(域)(合)(作)(,积)(极)(研)(究)(在)(俄)(建)(设)(新)(发)(电)(设)(施)(,扩)(大)(对)(华)(电)(力)(出)(口)(。
  2013年)(9月)(,中)(国)(石)(油)(天)(然)(气)(集)(团)(公)(司)(与)(俄)(罗)(斯)(天)(然)(气)(工)(业)(股)(份)(公)(司)(签)(署)(通)(过)(东)(线)(管)(道)(向)(中)(国)(供)(应)(天)(然)(气)(的)(框)(架)(协)(议)(。该)(管)(线)(将)(每)(年)(对)(华)(供)(气)(380亿)(立)(方)(米)(,预)(计)(将)(于)(2018年)(开)(始)(供)(气)(。
  这)(条)(管)(线)(将)(与)(已)(经)(投)(运)(的)(中)(俄)(原)(油)(管)(道)(一)(起)(,构)(成)(中)(国)(油)(气)(进)(口)(东)(北)(战)(略)(要)(道)(上)(的)(天)(然)(气)(进)(口)(大)(动)(脉)(。
  “中)(俄)(天)(然)(气)(贸)(易)(谈)(判)(的)(难)(点)(不)(仅)(仅)(是)(价)(格)(高)(低)(的)(问)(题)(,更)(重)(要)(的)(是)(天)(然)(气)(定)(价)(公)(式)(如)(何)(确)(定)(,是)(和)(石)(油)(价)(格)(挂)(钩)(还)(是)(和)(地)(区)(液)(化)(天)(然)(气)((LNG)价)(格)(挂)(钩)(,是)(否)(考)(虑)(预)(付)(款)(因)(素)(等)(。”中)(国)(现)(代)(国)(际)(关)(系)(研)(究)(院)(俄)(罗)(斯)(研)(究)(所)(所)(长)(冯)(玉)(军)(说)(。
  中)(俄)(天)(然)(气)(贸)(易)(谈)(判)(从)(启)(动)(以)(来)(,历)(经)(十)(余)(年)(之)(久)(。管)(线)(的)(走)(向)(、资)(源)(的)(落)(实)(、乃)(至)(价)(格)(如)(何)(确)(定)(,都)(成)(为)(谈)(判)(的)(焦)(点)(。期)(间)(,国)(际)(地)(缘)(政)(治)(格)(局)(不)(断)(变)(化)(,国)(际)(能)(源)(市)(场)(剧)(烈)(变)(革)(,中)(俄)(两)(国)(内)(外)(部)(因)(素)(也)(发)(生)(了)(巨)(大)(的)(变)(化)(。
  “一)(个)(是)(全)(球)(最)(大)(的)(天)(然)(气)(出)(口)(国)(之)(一)(,一)(个)(是)(潜)(力)(最)(大)(的)(天)(然)(气)(市)(场)(,中)(俄)(能)(源)(存)(在)(很)(强)(的)(互)(补)(关)(系)(,但)(这)(并)(不)(意)(味)(着)(价)(格)(谈)(判)(就)(可)(以)(轻)(易)(达)(成)(。”中)(国)(石)(油)(大)(学)(教)(授)(刘)(毅)(军)(指)(出)(,中)(俄)(天)(然)(气)(贸)(易)(谈)(判)(涉)(及)(对)(亚)(太)(市)(场)(定)(价)(权)(的)(争)(夺)(,并)(将)(对)(未)(来)(亚)(太)(地)(区)(天)(然)(气)(定)(价)(机)(制)(产)(生)(重)(要)(影)(响)(。从)(大)(环)(境)(看)(,国)(际)(天)(然)(气)(市)(场)(正)(处)(于)(剧)(烈)(变)(革)(中)(,但)(格)(局)(尚)(未)(完)(全)(明)(朗)(,双)(方)(仍)(存)(在)(一)(定)(的)(战)(略)(观)(望)(考)(量)(。
  为)(治)(理)(严)(峻)(的)(大)(气)(污)(染)(,清)(洁)(的)(天)(然)(气)(已)(成)(为)(中)(国)(推)(动)(能)(源)(消)(费)(结)(构)(转)(型)(的)(重)(要)(选)(择)(。根)(据)(中)(石)(油)(经)(济)(技)(术)(研)(究)(院)(统)(计)(,2013年)(,中)(国)(天)(然)(气)(表)(观)(消)(费)(量)(达)(到)(1676亿)(立)(方)(米)(,同)(比)(增)(长)(13.9%,成)(为)(世)(界)(第)(三)(大)(天)(然)(气)(消)(费)(国)(。天)(然)(气)(进)(口)(量)(同)(比)(大)(增)(25%,达)(到)(530亿)(立)(方)(米)(。对)(外)(依)(存)(度)(达)(到)(31.6%。
  对)(于)(俄)(罗)(斯)(来)(说)(,北)(美)(页)(岩)(气)(产)(量)(的)(大)(幅)(上)(升)(,使)(俄)(罗)(斯)(管)(道)(天)(然)(气)(在)(传)(统)(欧)(洲)(市)(场)(遭)(遇)(冲)(击)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(长)(期)(坚)(持)(的)(与)(油)(价)(挂)(钩)(及)(照)(付)(不)(议)(的)(定)(价)(共)(识)(趋)(于)(弱)(化)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(正)(逐)(步)(把)(目)(光)(转)(向)(亚)(太)(市)(场)(。
  从)(国)(际)(天)(然)(气)(市)(场)(看)(,近)(年)(来)(,以)(北)(美)(为)(代)(表)(的)(全)(球)(“页)(岩)(气)(革)(命)(”带)(来)(国)(际)(能)(源)(格)(局)(深)(刻)(变)(革)(,国)(际)(天)(然)(气)(市)(场)(开)(始)(从)(卖)(方)(市)(场)(向)(买)(方)(市)(场)(转)(变)(,而)(此)(前)(相)(互)(分)(隔)(、互)(不)(隶)(属)(、缺)(乏)(统)(一)(运)(作)(的)(分)(裂)(市)(场)(也)(逐)(步)(走)(向)(一)(体)(化)(。
  中)(国)(海)(洋)(石)(油)(总)(公)(司)(能)(源)(经)(济)(研)(究)(院)(首)(席)(能)(源)(研)(究)(员)(陈)(卫)(东)(指)(出)(,在)(能)(源)(转)(型)(及)(能)(源)(多)(元)(化)(的)(今)(天)(,美)(国)(由)(天)(然)(气)(进)(口)(国)(转)(变)(为)(天)(然)(气)(出)(口)(国)(,伊)(拉)(克)(石)(油)(产)(量)(增)(加)(、伊)(朗)(制)(裁)(松)(动)(、北)(美)(油)(砂)(及)(深)(水)(油)(田)(开)(发)(,中)(国)(等)(国)(家)(大)(力)(度)(开)(发)(页)(岩)(气)(、煤)(层)(气)(等)(非)(常)(规)(油)(气)(资)(源)(,都)(将)(逐)(步)(改)(变)(全)(球)(油)(气)(供)(给)(的)(大)(格)(局)(。
  对)(于)(中)(国)(来)(说)(,由)(于)(国)(内)(天)(然)(气)(价)(格)(尚)(未)(完)(全)(市)(场)(化)(,这)(使)(得)(中)(国)(市)(场)(对)(于)(天)(然)(气)(价)(格)(的)(承)(受)(能)(力)(较)(低)(。俄)(方)(若)(希)(望)(在)(亚)(太)(市)(场)(分)(享)(与)(欧)(洲)(相)(似)(的)(定)(价)(水)(平)(,从)(区)(域)(经)(济)(的)(发)(展)(看)(,难)(以)(达)(到)(。
  可)(以)(明)(确)(的)(是)(,在)(未)(来)(的)(国)(际)(天)(然)(气)(市)(场)(中)(,市)(场)(的)(力)(量)(将)(越)(来)(越)(强)(,天)(然)(气)(市)(场)(将)(不)(仅)(仅)(取)(决)(于)(卖)(方)(,也)(越)(来)(越)(取)(决)(于)(买)(方)(。买)(卖)(双)(方)(都)(面)(临)(多)(元)(化)(选)(择)(,而)(市)(场)(将)(是)(主)(导)(力)(量)(。
  “中)(俄)(建)(立)(全)(面)(能)(源)(合)(作)(伙)(伴)(关)(系)(的)(提)(出)(,说)(明)(中)(俄)(能)(源)(合)(作)(的)(愿)(望)(进)(一)(步)(提)(升)(。但)(体)(现)(在)(贸)(易)(谈)(判)(上)(,还)(是)(要)(一)(分)(钱)(一)(分)(钱)(地)(讨)(价)(还)(价)(,最)(终)(要)(靠)(市)(场)(来)(说)(话)(。如)(果)(双)(方)(都)(能)(从)(未)(来)(国)(际)(能)(源)(格)(局)(变)(革)(的)(整)(体)(趋)(势)(出)(发)(,中)(俄)(能)(源)(合)(作)(将)(更)(有)(战)(略)(性)(、长)(期)(性)(并)(更)(加)(稳)(定)(。”冯)(玉)(军)(说)(。
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