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央行数据揭秘房价大涨“真凶”!这两类房别碰

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2018年12月10日 03:25:16
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(  老)(百)(姓)(手)(里)(的)(钱)(,像)(一)(股)(无)(法)(抑)(制)(的)(洪)(流)(
  大)(家)(不)(投)(资)(实)(业)(,都)(在)(买)(房)(,能)(怪)(企)(业)(,怪)(买)(房)(的)(老)(百)(姓)(吗)(?恐)(怕)(不)(能)(。当)(前)(,赚)(钱)(正)(变)(得)(越)(来)(越)(难)(,大)(家)(都)(想)(赚)(钱)(,除)(了)(买)(房)(却)(不)(知)(道)(该)(如)(何)(赚)(钱)(。一)(场)(财)(富)(缩)(水)(的)(危)(机)(正)(笼)(罩)(在)(每)(个)(中)(国)(人)(身)(上)(……
  就)(像)(风)(雨)(欲)(来)(时)(的)(狂)(风)(暴)(雨)(,山)(洪)(将)(至)(,老)(百)(姓)(手)(里)(的)(钱)(,像)(一)(股)(无)(法)(抑)(制)(的)(洪)(流)(,总)(要)(有)(个)(去)(处)(,而)(楼)(市)(成)(了)(泄)(洪)(的)(最)(佳)(地)(点)(,推)(动)(着)(房)(价)(节)(节)(高)(升)(。
  问)(题)(是)(,现)(在)(除)(了)(楼)(市)(,你)(还)(能)(想)(到)(更)(好)(的)(去)(处)(吗)(?
  存)(银)(行)(?负)(利)(率)(,把)(钱)(存)(在)(银)(行)(里)(只)(会)(越)(存)(越)(少)(。去)(股)(市)(?虽)(然)(股)(票)(已)(经)(比)(计)(较)(低)(了)(,但)(是)(股)(市)(暴)(跌)(的)(风)(险)(历)(历)(在)(目)(,杠)(杆)(的)(风)(险)(也)(还)(在)(天)(上)(飞)(,大)(家)(都)(怕)(。投)(资)(实)(业)(?看)(一)(看)(现)(在)(有)(多)(少)(实)(体)(经)(济)(还)(在)(赚)(钱)(,谁)(还)(敢)(轻)(易)(投)(资)(实)(业)(,哪)(一)(个)(领)(域)(还)(有)(较)(高)(的)(回)(报)(率)(?我)(们)(多)(么)(希)(望)(实)(业)(兴)(国)(,可)(却)(看)(不)(清)(前)(方)(路)(在)(何)(方)(。
  鬼)(知)(道)(老)(百)(姓)(经)(历)(了)(怎)(样)(痛)(苦)(的)(纠)(结)(,才)(举)(全)(家)(之)(力)(在)(大)(城)(市)(买)(下)(一)(个)(小)(蜗)(居)(,穿)(行)(在)(拥)(挤)(中)(,为)(谋)(生)(也)(为)(谋)(梦)(想)(。
  当)(整)(个)(市)(场)(只)(剩)(下)(房)(地)(产)(还)(在)(不)(断)(地)(拉)(升)(,只)(有)(房)(地)(产)(在)(扩)(张)(,一)(业)(兴)(而)(百)(业)(衰)(的)(时)(候)(,天)(知)(道)(,它)(能)(维)(持)(多)(久)(。
  海)(通)(证)(券)(姜)(超)(表)(示)(,中)(国)(房)(贷)(高)(增)(不)(可)(持)(续)(,急)(速)(增)(长)(的)(房)(贷)(正)(在)(超)(越)(居)(民)(的)(偿)(付)(能)(力)(,边)(际)(杠)(杆)(已)(近)(极)(限)(,地)(产)(泡)(沫)(值)(得)(警)(惕)(。
  知)(名)(政)(经)(评)(论)(员)(雷)(思)(海)(认)(为)(,现)(在)(基)(本)(是)(涨)(价)(的)(恐)(惧)(,驱)(逐)(买)(房)(人)(进)(场)(。房)(地)(产)(是)(吗)(啡)(,给)(中)(国)(经)(济)(问)(题)(做)(手)(术)(的)(时)(候)(扎)(一)(针)(,缓)(解)(一)(下)(疼)(痛)(是)(可)(以)(的)(。但)(是)(,若)(因)(此)(而)(上)(瘾)(,那)(么)(,我)(们)(将)(会)(把)(自)(己)(置)(于)(危)(险)(之)(境)(地)(。
  权)(威)(数)(据)(告)(诉)(你)(:这)(两)(种)(房)(子)(最)(危)(险)(!
  目)(前)(国)(家)(正)(在)(全)(力)(推)(动)(楼)(市)(去)(库)(存)(,所)(以)("商)(品)(房)(待)(售)(面)(积)("的)(数)(据)(非)(常)(重)(要)(。从)(去)(年)(12月)(以)(来)(,商)(品)(房)(库)(存)(量)(的)(确)(有)(所)(下)(降)(,但)(跟)(去)(年)(6月)(相)(比)(,仍)(然)(出)(现)(了)(显)(著)(的)(增)(长)(。
  根)(据)(国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(的)(数)(据)(,今)(年)(7月)(新)(开)(工)(面)(积)(比)(去)(年)(6月)(上)(升)(了)(将)(近)(四)(成)(。所)(以)(,随)(着)(楼)(市)(开)(始)(降)(温)(,未)(来)(几)(个)(月)(中)(国)(房)(地)(产)(库)(存)(量)(将)(继)(续)(反)(弹)(,最)(终)(全)(面)(超)(过)(去)(年)(年)(底)(的)(水)(平)(。
  可)(以)(发)(现)(,商)(品)(房)(中)(,住)(宅)(的)(库)(存)(量)(去)(年)(12月)(见)(顶)(之)(后)(,到)(2016年)(6月)(和)(7月)(有)(所)(降)(低)(。但)(如)(果)(你)(看)(一)(下)("办)(公)(楼)("和)("商)(业)(营)(业)(用)(房)(",就)(会)(发)(现)(库)(存)(是)(直)(线)(上)(升)(的)(。也)(就)(说)(,这)(轮)(房)(地)(产)(政)(策)(牛)(市)(对)(住)(宅)(还)(有)(点)(作)(用)(,对)("办)(公)(楼)("和)("商)(业)(营)(业)(用)(房)("完)(全)(没)(有)(作)(用)(。
  "办)(公)(楼)("和)("商)(业)(营)(业)(用)(房)("是)(房)(子)(里)(的)(奢)(侈)(品)(,跟)(城)(市)(繁)(华)(程)(度)(成)(正)(比)(。但)(即)(便)(上)(海)(这)(样)(的)(城)(市)(,都)(开)(始)(全)(面)(限)(制)(商)(业)(办)(公)(用)(房)(了)(,至)(于)(成)(都)(、沈)(阳)(这)(种)(二)(线)(城)(市)(已)(经)(全)(面)(过)(剩)(,空)(置)(率)(大)(增)(。虽)(然)(国)(家)(允)(许)(改)(变)(用)(途)(,但)(这)(个)(办)(法)(也)(只)(能)(对)(有)(人)(口)(增)(量)(的)(中)(心)(城)(市)(有)(用)(,对)(于)(连)(住)(宅)(都)(过)(剩)(的)(城)(市)(,基)(本)(上)(没)(有)(用)(。
  "办)(公)(楼)("和)("商)(业)(营)(业)(用)(房)("之)(所)(以)(风)(险)(巨)(大)(,主)(要)(原)(因)(有)(三)(:
  第)(一)(,前)(几)(年)(住)(宅)(限)(购)(,开)(发)(商)(弄)(出)(了)(大)(量)(的)(商)(业)(办)(公)(用)(房)(,远)(远)(超)(出)(了)(城)(市)(需)(要)(。地)(方)(官)(员)(追)(求)(城)(市)(的)(外)(表)(光)(鲜)(,盲)(目)(上)(了)(很)(多)(这)(类)(项)(目)(。商)(办)(用)(房)(不)(同)(住)(宅)(,不)(是)(刚)(需)(,受)(经)(济)(周)(期)(影)(响)(较)(大)(。
  第)(二)(,互)(联)(网)(解)(构)(了)(商)(铺)(的)(需)(求)(和)(价)(值)(,大)(量)(的)("提)(袋)(消)(费)("(比)(如)(服)(装)(鞋)(帽)(、小)(家)(电)(等)()转)(到)(了)(网)(上)(,只)(余)(下)(了)(生)(鲜)(消)(费)(和)(体)(验)(式)(消)(费)((比)(如)(电)(影)(院)(、溜)(冰)(场)(、游)(戏)(厅)(、培)(训)()。
  第)(三)(,多)(数)(城)(市)(允)(许)(在)(住)(宅)(楼)(里)(注)(册)(公)(司)(和)(办)(公)(,这)(让)(纯)(写)(字)(楼)(的)(需)(求)(也)(不)(断)(被)(分)(流)(。
  总)(之)(,"办)(公)(楼)("和)("商)(业)(营)(业)(用)(房)("已)(经)(成)(为)(当)(前)(最)(危)(险)(的)(物)(业)(,在)(北)(上)(深)(,不)(仅)(办)(公)(楼)(跟)(住)(宅)(出)(现)(了)(价)(格)(倒)(挂)(,甚)(至)(商)(铺)(都)(开)(始)(跟)(高)(档)(住)(宅)(价)(格)(倒)(挂)(了)(。我)(们)(只)(能)(叹)(息)(一)(声)(:这)(世)(界)(变)(化)(太)(快)(!
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