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房子是用来住的!北京房价两年来首次下降

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2018年12月10日 04:14:41
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(  撰)(文)(|耿)(诺)(
  国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(18日)(发)(布)(了)(2016年)(12月)(70个)(大)(中)(城)(市)(住)(宅)(销)(售)(价)(格)(统)(计)(数)(据)(,一)(线)(城)(市)(新)(建)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(价)(格)(环)(比)(持)(平)(,二)(三)(线)(城)(市)(涨)(幅)(回)(落)(。15个)(热)(点)(城)(市)(中)(,房)(价)(出)(现)(环)(比)(下)(调)(的)(城)(市)(达)(到)(八)(成)(,北)(京)(、南)(京)(等)(城)(市)(22个)(月)(来)(新)(建)(商)(品)(房)(住)(宅)(价)(格)(首)(次)(出)(现)(下)(调)(。
  长)(安)(街)(知)(事)(APP走)(访)(了)(北)(京)(的)(房)(地)(产)(市)(场)(,发)(现)(在)(“930”新)(政)(和)(临)(近)(春)(节)(进)(入)(传)(统)(淡)(季)(的)(双)(重)(影)(响)(下)(,本)(月)(上)(半)(月)(,北)(京)(新)(房)(、二)(手)(房)(市)(场)(成)(交)(量)(齐)(跌)(,只)(有)(自)(住)(房)(成)(交)(挑)(起)(了)(大)(梁)(。
  二)(手)(房)(成)(交)(出)(现)(一)(年)(来)(低)(位)(
  天)(通)(苑)(东)(一)(区)(的)(一)(套)(板)(楼)(两)(居)(室)(,92.92平)(方)(米)(,单)(价)(3.44万)(元)(,总)(价)(320万)(元)(。看)(着)(新)(近)(登)(出)(的)(房)(源)(,计)(划)(今)(年)(结)(婚)(、买)(婚)(房)(的)(张)(小)(姐)(突)(然)(不)(着)(急)(了)(,想)(等)(等)(再)(说)(。
  “最)(近)(有)(些)(便)(宜)(房)(子)(出)(来)(就)(成)(交)(了)(,但)(是)(政)(策)(还)(是)(收)(紧)(的)(,我)(想)(春)(节)(和)(家)(人)(商)(量)(商)(量)(再)(说)(。”她)(琢)(磨)(着)(。
  为)(了)(买)(房)(,张)(小)(姐)(可)(是)(做)(了)(一)(番)(功)(课)(——房)(地)(产)(调)(控)(政)(策)(从)(严)(时)(,二)(手)(房)(的)(成)(交)(量)(会)(先)(出)(现)(下)(跌)(,随)(后)(房)(主)(的)(期)(待)(会)(有)(所)(下)(跌)(,一)(些)(低)(价)(房)(就)(会)(成)(交)(,从)(而)(拉)(低)(成)(交)(价)(。
  而)(从)(“930”政)(策)(发)(布)(之)(日)(起)(,最)(近)(一)(段)(时)(间)(,正)(是)(市)(场)(上)(还)(在)(较)(劲)(的)(时)(期)(。来)(自)(多)(个)(中)(介)(机)(构)(的)(统)(计)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,北)(京)(市)(的)(新)(房)(、二)(手)(房)(网)(签)(量)(已)(经)(开)(始)(下)(滑)(。
  据)(伟)(业)(我)(爱)(我)(家)(集)(团)(市)(场)(研)(究)(院)(统)(计)(,2017年)(第)(2周)(,即)(1月)(9日)(至)(15日)(,北)(京)(不)(含)(保)(障)(房)(在)(内)(的)(全)(市)(新)(建)(纯)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(网)(签)(量)(为)(778套)(,环)(比)(第)(1周)(下)(降)(35.6%。
  另)(一)(方)(面)(,北)(京)(工)(作)(日)(的)(二)(手)(住)(宅)(网)(签)(量)(一)(路)(走)(低)(,从)(长)(期)(维)(持)(在)(1400套)(左)(右)(下)(降)(到)(1000套)(以)(下)(,上)(周)(更)(是)(全)(面)(下)(滑)(到)(700套)(以)(下)(。相)(关)(业)(内)(人)(士)(称)(,这)(释)(放)(出)(了)(非)(常)(明)(显)(的)(降)(温)(信)(号)(。
  自)(住)(房)(撑)(起)(成)(交)(江)(山)(
  与)(一)(、二)(手)(房)(市)(场)(的)(降)(温)(成)(鲜)(明)(对)(比)(,自)(住)(房)(市)(场)(热)(度)(不)(减)(。
  数)(据)(显)(示)(,近)(期)(北)(京)(新)(建)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(单)(周)(交)(易)(量)(基)(本)(都)(在)(1000套)(以)(下)(,只)(有)(2016年)(第)(50周)(和)(2017年)(第)(一)(周)(交)(易)(量)(在)(自)(住)(型)(商)(品)(房)(的)(影)(响)(下)(超)(过)(千)(套)(。
  在)(这)(两)(周)(里)(,北)(京)(自)(住)(房)(分)(别)(成)(交)(了)(999套)(和)(399套)(,并)(直)(接)(将)(交)(易)(量)(拉)(到)(了)(千)(套)(以)(上)(。相)(关)(分)(析)(师)(说)(,剔)(除)(自)(住)(房)(这)(一)(结)(构)(性)(因)(素)(后)(,上)(周)(北)(京)(新)(建)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(成)(交)(777套)(,环)(比)(新)(年)(第)(一)(周)(依)(旧)(小)(幅)(下)(降)(4%。
  在)(业)(内)(分)(析)(看)(,自)(住)(型)(商)(品)(房)(供)(应)(和)(成)(交)(量)(的)(变)(化)(,是)(导)(致)(北)(京)(新)(房)(市)(场)(纯)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(交)(易)(量)(波)(动)(的)(主)(要)(原)(因)(。2017年)(1月)(上)(半)(月)(北)(京)(自)(住)(房)(共)(成)(交)(520套)(,环)(比)(去)(年)(12月)(下)(半)(月)(增)(长)(400%,同)(比)(2016年)(12月)(上)(半)(月)(下)(降)(62.3%。但)(是)(在)(剔)(除)(自)(住)(型)(商)(品)(房)(后)(,12月)(至)(今)(,包)(括)(2016年)(1月)(上)(半)(月)(,北)(京)(新)(建)(纯)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(的)(半)(月)(网)(签)(量)(都)(在)(1600套)(左)(右)(,基)(本)(保)(持)(稳)(定)(。
  而)(从)(成)(交)(项)(目)(上)(来)(看)(,1月)(上)(半)(月)(成)(交)(量)(最)(高)(的)(,也)(都)(是)(自)(住)(房)(项)(目)(。剔)(除)(保)(障)(房)(以)(后)(,今)(年)(上)(半)(月)(北)(京)(新)(建)(纯)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(成)(交)(最)(多)(的)(5个)(项)(目)(分)(别)(是)(保)(利)(首)(开)(四)(季)(怡)(园)(、清)(岚)(花)(园)(、首)(创)(天)(阅)(西)(山)(、橡)(林)(郡)(和)(中)(海)(国)(际)(公)(馆)(,其)(中)(排)(在)(第)(一)(位)(的)(保)(利)(首)(开)(四)(季)(怡)(园)(和)(排)(在)(第)(三)(位)(的)(首)(创)(天)(阅)(西)(山)(均)(为)(自)(住)(房)(项)(目)(。
  二)(手)(房)(成)(交)(将)(持)(续)(下)(滑)(
  “随)(着)(春)(节)(的)(临)(近)(,更)(多)(的)(购)(房)(家)(庭)(将)(选)(择)(取)(消)(或)(延)(缓)(购)(房)(计)(划)(,受)(此)(影)(响)(,春)(节)(前)(二)(手)(房)(的)(实)(际)(交)(易)(量)(还)(将)(持)(续)(减)(少)(。”伟)(业)(我)(爱)(我)(家)(集)(团)(副)(总)(裁)(胡)(景)(晖)(说)(。
  他)(表)(示)(,随)(着)(春)(节)(的)(临)(近)(,北)(京)(新)(房)(市)(场)(已)(经)(进)(入)(了)(传)(统)(的)(年)(初)(淡)(季)(,项)(目)(少)(、购)(买)(人)(少)(、开)(发)(商)(推)(盘)(力)(度)(也)(小)(,加)(上)(政)(策)(调)(控)(严)(,市)(场)(交)(易)(心)(态)(并)(不)(积)(极)(,因)(而)(近)(期)(北)(京)(新)(房)(的)(整)(体)(交)(易)(量)(都)(一)(直)(维)(持)(在)(低)(水)(平)(,仅)(有)(自)(住)(房)(会)(随)(着)(项)(目)(的)(入)(市)(带)(来)(结)(构)(性)(的)(变)(化)(,春)(节)(前)(,北)(京)(新)(房)(整)(体)(交)(易)(量)(还)(将)(进)(一)(步)(回)(落)(。
  在)(胡)(景)(晖)(看)(来)(,上)(周)(工)(作)(日)(二)(手)(房)(网)(签)(量)(不)(足)(700套)(的)(情)(形)(,自)(2016年)(市)(场)(大)(热)(以)(来)(还)(是)(首)(次)(出)(现)(。与)(2016年)(1月)(上)(半)(月)(超)(过)(1万)(套)(的)(交)(易)(量)(相)(比)(,2017年)(1月)(上)(半)(月)(6000余)(套)(的)(交)(易)(量)(明)(显)(偏)(低)(,去)(年)(的)(高)(热)(度)(已)(然)(不)(再)(,2017年)(北)(京)(二)(手)(住)(宅)(市)(场)(可)(以)(说)(是)(开)(门)(遇)(冷)(,在)(目)(前)(从)(紧)(的)(楼)(市)(政)(策)(下)(,交)(易)(量)(的)(回)(落)(还)(将)(持)(续)(。
  “由)(于)(房)(地)(产)(调)(控)(政)(策)(货)(币)(政)(策)(收)(紧)(,二)(套)(及)(非)(普)(通)(住)(宅)(商)(业)(贷)(款)(首)(付)(比)(例)(大)(幅)(提)(高)(,北)(京)(二)(手)(市)(场)(急)(速)(刹)(车)(,交)(易)(量)(迅)(速)(下)(滑)(。随)(后)(,在)(政)(策)(的)(持)(续)(影)(响)(下)(,市)(场)(心)(态)(从)(恐)(慌)(逐)(渐)(变)(为)(冷)(静)(,购)(房)(者)(也)(从)(着)(急)(入)(市)(逐)(渐)(转)(为)(观)(望)(等)(待)(。”他)(说)(。
  据)(分)(析)(,中)(央)(经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(上)(确)(定)(“房)(子)(是)(用)(来)(住)(的)(,不)(是)(用)(来)(炒)(的)(”的)(定)(位)(,确)(立)(了)(2017年)(楼)(市)(政)(策)(的)(方)(向)(与)(基)(调)(。在)(此)(背)(景)(下)(,2017年)(楼)(市)(政)(策)(不)(仅)(不)(可)(能)(松)(动)(,还)(有)(进)(一)(步)(加)(码)(的)(可)(能)(性)(,市)(场)(预)(期)(将)(进)(一)(步)(走)(低)(,交)(易)(量)(也)(将)(进)(一)(步)(下)(滑)(。
  目)(前)(,本)(市)(已)(经)(重)(启)(90/70政)(策)(,要)(求)(加)(大)(自)(住)(房)(用)(地)(供)(应)(。胡)(景)(晖)(分)(析)(,未)(来)(北)(京)(新)(房)(市)(场)(的)(供)(应)(结)(构)(将)(得)(到)(优)(化)(,高)(端)(化)(、豪)(宅)(化)(趋)(势)(将)(得)(到)(有)(效)(遏)(制)(,随)(着)(中)(低)(价)(位)(、中)(小)(户)(型)(房)(源)(供)(应)(和)(成)(交)(占)(比)(的)(增)(加)(,将)(有)(利)(于)(促)(使)(房)(价)(的)(结)(构)(性)(回)(落)(。
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