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地方基建、产业投资超10万亿

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2018年12月11日 05:57:04
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(原)(标)(题)(:地)(方)(基)(建)(、产)(业)(投)(资)(超)(10万)(亿)(撬)(动)(民)(间)(资)(本)(跟)(进)(
21世)(纪)(经)(济)(研)(究)(院)(特)(约)(分)(析)(师)(张)(赛)(男)(实)(习)(生)(周)(文)(琦)(
步)(入)(2017年)(,全)(国)(各)(地)(新)(一)(轮)(的)(重)(大)(项)(目)(投)(资)(陆)(续)(开)(工)(。
今)(年)(的)(政)(府)(工)(作)(报)(告)(提)(到)(,2017年)(要)(积)(极)(扩)(大)(有)(效)(投)(资)(,引)(导)(资)(金)(更)(多)(投)(向)(补)(短)(板)(、调)(结)(构)(、促)(创)(新)(、惠)(民)(生)(的)(领)(域)(。“继)(续)(加)(强)(轨)(道)(交)(通)(、民)(用)(航)(空)(、电)(信)(基)(础)(设)(施)(等)(重)(大)(项)(目)(建)(设)(。”
从)(各)(省)(公)(布)(的)(投)(资)(计)(划)(来)(看)(,地)(方)(上)(安)(排)(的)(2017年)(重)(点)(项)(目)(基)(本)(涵)(盖)(了)(以)(上)(领)(域)(。21世)(纪)(经)(济)(研)(究)(院)(在)(梳)(理)(中)(发)(现)(,无)(论)(是)(东)(部)(发)(达)(省)(份)(,还)(是)(中)(西)(部)(内)(陆)(地)(区)(,基)(础)(设)(施)(建)(设)(尤)(其)(交)(通)(领)(域)(的)(投)(资)(占)(据)(重)(要)(地)(位)(;同)(时)(,产)(业)(项)(目)(也)(成)(为)(布)(局)(重)(点)(,多)(地)(提)(出)(产)(业)(升)(级)(转)(型)(计)(划)(。
通)(过)(初)(步)(计)(算)(,31个)(省)((市)(、自)(治)(区)()今)(年)(在)(重)(大)(项)(目)(上)(的)(投)(资)(总)(额)(至)(少)(达)(到)(10万)(亿)(以)(上)(。如)(此)(庞)(大)(的)(投)(资)(资)(金)(从)(哪)(里)(来)(?成)(为)(地)(方)(政)(府)(首)(先)(遭)(遇)(的)(问)(题)(。而)(根)(据)(各)(地)(提)(出)(的)(融)(资)(方)(案)(,推)(进)(政)(府)(和)(社)(会)(资)(本)(合)(作)(的)(投)(融)(资)(模)(式)(或)(成)(主)(要)(选)(择)(。
交)(通)(项)(目)(领)(跑)(基)(建)(投)(资)(
在)(“扩)(大)(有)(效)(投)(资)(”的)(总)(基)(调)(之)(下)(,各)(地)(投)(资)(规)(模)(有)(扩)(大)(趋)(势)(,有)(些)(省)(份)(在)(超)(额)(完)(成)(2016年)(投)(资)(计)(划)(的)(基)(础)(上)(又)(提)(高)(了)(今)(年)(的)(投)(资)(目)(标)(,如)(上)(海)(、河)(南)(、海)(南)(、陕)(西)(等)(地)(,今)(年)(计)(划)(投)(资)(金)(额)(均)(不)(低)(于)(去)(年)(完)(成)(水)(平)(。
经)(21世)(纪)(经)(济)(研)(究)(院)(统)(计)(发)(现)(,2017年)(计)(划)(投)(资)(数)(额)(最)(高)(的)(为)(河)(南)(省)(,年)(投)(资)(目)(标)(为)(1.5万)(亿)(元)(,比)(2016年)(增)(加)(1000亿)(元)(以)(上)(,占)(全)(省)(固)(定)(资)(产)(投)(资)(的)(比)(重)(保)(持)(在)(40%左)(右)(,拉)(动)(全)(省)(固)(定)(资)(产)(投)(资)(增)(长)(12%以)(上)(,对)(经)(济)(的)(推)(动)(作)(用)(可)(见)(一)(斑)(。
其)(他)(省)(份)(的)(投)(资)(规)(模)(也)(不)(小)(,拟)(定)(的)(目)(标)(动)(辄)(千)(亿)(,总)(投)(资)(达)(到)(万)(亿)(级)(别)(的)(也)(不)(在)(少)(数)(,对)(今)(年)(整)(体)(投)(资)(和)(经)(济)(形)(成)(支)(撑)(。
如)(贵)(州)(省)(年)(投)(资)(计)(划)(8504亿)(元)(,总)(投)(资)(4.2万)(亿)(;广)(东)(省)(年)(投)(资)(计)(划)(5400亿)(元)(,总)(投)(资)(5.1万)(亿)(;福)(建)(省)(年)(投)(资)(计)(划)(3913亿)(元)(,总)(投)(资)(达)(到)(3.57万)(亿)(;陕)(西)(省)(年)(投)(资)(计)(划)(4820亿)(元)(,总)(投)(资)(达)(到)(3.7万)(亿)(。四)(川)(、重)(庆)(、江)(苏)(、福)(建)(、江)(西)(、湖)(北)(的)(总)(投)(资)(数)(额)(均)(达)(万)(亿)(。
从)(重)(点)(聚)(焦)(的)(领)(域)(来)(看)(,产)(业)(结)(构)(升)(级)(、基)(础)(设)(施)(建)(设)(、新)(型)(城)(镇)(化)(、生)(态)(环)(保)(、社)(会)(民)(生)(等)(项)(目)(成)(为)(各)(地)(的)(重)(要)(抓)(手)(,其)(中)(,各)(地)(对)(基)(础)(设)(施)(建)(设)(的)(需)(求)(普)(遍)(较)(大)(。
统)(计)(显)(示)(,在)(28个)(省)(份)(中)(,有)(25个)(省)(份)(把)(基)(础)(设)(施)(建)(设)(作)(为)(重)(点)(领)(域)(,明)(确)(指)(出)(要)(“全)(力)(抓)(好)(”“重)(点)(聚)(焦)(”,投)(资)(数)(额)(占)(据)(了)(不)(少)(地)(方)(投)(资)(计)(划)(的)(半)(壁)(江)(山)(。
以)(四)(川)(为)(例)(,在)(投)(资)(额)(度)(上)(,基)(础)(设)(施)(项)(目)(是)(第)(一)(主)(力)(,项)(目)(数)(量)(达)(到)(247个)(,年)(度)(计)(划)(投)(资)(超)(过)(2000亿)(元)(,占)(到)(总)(计)(划)(的)(43%;重)(庆)(也)(把)(基)(建)(投)(资)(作)(为)(重)(中)(之)(重)(,占)(据)(年)(度)(计)(划)(的)(49%;广)(东)(的)(基)(建)(项)(目)(更)(是)(高)(达)(501个)(。
而)(在)(基)(建)(项)(目)(中)(,多)(地)(政)(府)(对)(交)(通)(的)(重)(视)(程)(度)(又)(是)(摆)(在)(首)(位)(的)(。
广)(东)(今)(年)(安)(排)(的)(11类)(基)(础)(设)(施)(重)(点)(项)(目)(工)(程)(中)(,有)(5类)(属)(于)(交)(通)(基)(础)(设)(施)(;云)(南)(省)(重)(点)(督)(查)(的)(建)(设)(项)(目)(中)(,交)(通)(项)(目)(投)(资)(达)(到)(1340亿)(元)(以)(上)(;在)(湖)(南)(的)(重)(点)(基)(建)(项)(目)(中)(,首)(要)(任)(务)(便)(是)(交)(通)(网)(升)(级)(,安)(排)(了)(1040亿)(元)(投)(资)(金)(额)(。
甘)(肃)(、青)(海)(、吉)(林)(、黑)(龙)(江)(四)(个)(省)(份)(,虽)(然)(还)(未)(公)(布)(今)(年)(重)(大)(项)(目)(投)(资)(计)(划)(,但)(在)(重)(大)(交)(通)(建)(设)(上)(早)(有)(布)(局)(,共)(涉)(及)(高)(速)(公)(路)(、铁)(路)(、机)(场)(、交)(通)(枢)(纽)(、轨)(道)(交)(通)(等)(多)(个)(方)(面)(。
此)(外)(,内)(陆)(地)(区)(在)(水)(利)(项)(目)(上)(也)(有)(重)(点)(布)(局)(。如)(湖)(北)(布)(局)(4个)(水)(利)(类)(项)(目)(;云)(南)(投)(资)(100亿)(建)(设)(水)(网)(工)(程)(;青)(海)(加)(快)(防)(洪)(工)(程)(、灌)(溉)(工)(程)(建)(设)(;新)(疆)(投)(资)(360亿)(元)(推)(动)(水)(库)(建)(设)(、河)(段)(治)(理)(、节)(水)(改)(造)(等)(。
升)(级)(产)(业)(项)(目)(“补)(短)(板)(”
投)(资)(对)(经)(济)(的)(拉)(动)(显)(而)(易)(见)(,为)(了)(稳)(增)(长)(,各)(地)(投)(资)(热)(度)(正)(在)(升)(温)(,而)(“扩)(大)(有)(效)(投)(资)(”,归)(根)(结)(底)(还)(是)(要)(落)(在)(提)(高)(投)(资)(的)(有)(效)(性)(上)(。
从)(各)(省)(在)(多)(领)(域)(的)(投)(资)(比)(例)(来)(看)(,有)(些)(省)(份)(也)(开)(始)(在)(稳)(增)(长)(和)(调)(结)(构)(的)(平)(衡)(点)(上)(发)(力)(,把)(资)(金)(投)(到)(更)(多)(调)(结)(构)(、补)(短)(板)(、惠)(民)(生)(的)(项)(目)(上)(来)(。一)(个)(突)(出)(的)(表)(现)(就)(是)(在)(产)(业)(项)(目)(投)(资)(的)(分)(量)(加)(重)(。
上)(文)(提)(到)(,基)(础)(设)(施)(项)(目)(是)(四)(川)(的)(第)(一)(主)(力)(,但)(从)(项)(目)(数)(量)(来)(看)(,四)(川)(的)(产)(业)(项)(目)(占)(据)(大)(头)(,达)(到)(361个)(项)(目)(,占)(全)(省)(重)(点)(项)(目)(总)(数)(的)(一)(半)(以)(上)(,计)(划)(总)(投)(资)(1.78万)(亿)(元)(,规)(模)(与)(基)(建)(相)(比)(也)(并)(不)(小)(。此)(外)(,山)(西)(、湖)(北)(安)(排)(的)(产)(业)(项)(目)(数)(量)(也)(超)(过)(了)(基)(建)(数)(量)(。
还)(有)(省)(份)(在)(基)(建)(投)(资)(保)(持)(较)(大)(规)(模)(的)(情)(况)(下)(,把)(产)(业)(项)(目)(投)(资)(排)(在)(了)(首)(位)(,并)(大)(多)(集)(中)(在)(战)(略)(性)(新)(兴)(产)(业)(、先)(进)(制)(造)(业)(、高)(新)(技)(术)(产)(业)(。
从)(浙)(江)(第)(一)(批)(开)(工)(的)(重)(大)(项)(目)(来)(看)(,产)(业)(项)(目)(有)(266个)(,总)(投)(资)(2573亿)(元)(,占)(比)(32.6%,高)(于)(基)(础)(设)(施)(项)(目)(和)(综)(合)(交)(通)(项)(目)(投)(资)(规)(模)(;河)(南)(今)(年)(共)(安)(排)(先)(进)(制)(造)(业)(、现)(代)(服)(务)(业)(等)(产)(业)(结)(构)(优)(化)(升)(级)(项)(目)(695个)(,总)(投)(资)(1.3万)(亿)(元)(,年)(度)(计)(划)(投)(资)(3667亿)(元)(,高)(于)(基)(建)(规)(模)(;海)(南)(在)(产)(业)(方)(面)(安)(排)(了)(344个)(重)(点)(项)(目)(,年)(度)(计)(划)(投)(资)(1490亿)(元)(,无)(论)(数)(量)(还)(是)(规)(模)(均)(大)(于)(基)(建)(投)(资)(。
江)(苏)(今)(年)(开)(工)(的)(重)(大)(项)(目)(中)(,近)(80%为)(产)(业)(类)(项)(目)(,个)(数)(和)(总)(投)(资)(分)(别)(达)(到)(1050个)(和)(8689亿)(元)(,其)(中)(制)(造)(业)(项)(目)(796个)(、总)(投)(资)(5807亿)(元)(。这)(些)(重)(大)(项)(目)(中)(,具)(有)(高)(端)(技)(术)(水)(平)(和)(产)(业)(化)(规)(模)(的)(战)(略)(性)(新)(兴)(产)(业)(项)(目)(50个)(,具)(有)(先)(进)(研)(发)(能)(力)(和)(产)(业)(集)(聚)(能)(力)(的)(创)(新)(载)(体)(项)(目)(20个)(,是)(产)(业)(迈)(向)(中)(高)(端)(的)(重)(要)(支)(撑)(。
有)(分)(析)(人)(士)(认)(为)(,今)(年)(江)(苏)(重)(大)(项)(目)(安)(排)(显)(现)(出)(新)(产)(品)(、新)(技)(术)(、新)(业)(态)(、新)(模)(式)(类)(项)(目)(明)(显)(增)(多)(,表)(明)(经)(济)(转)(型)(升)(级)(的)(态)(势)(日)(渐)(明)(显)(,经)(济)(运)(行)(向)(好)(的)(基)(础)(不)(断)(稳)(固)(。
定)(位)(为)(综)(合)(性)(国)(家)(科)(学)(中)(心)(的)(安)(徽)(,也)(体)(现)(出)(重)(点)(项)(目)(结)(构)(优)(化)(的)(趋)(势)(。安)(徽)(部)(署)(的)(2017年)(重)(点)(项)(目)(中)(,战)(略)(性)(新)(兴)(产)(业)(项)(目)(最)(多)(,包)(括)(无)(人)(直)(升)(机)(研)(发)(制)(造)(及)(无)(人)(智)(能)(系)(统)(开)(发)(项)(目)(、卫)(星)(综)(合)(应)(用)(产)(业)(和)(量)(子)(信)(息)(国)(家)(实)(验)(室)(等)(。
激)(发)(民)(间)(投)(资)(活)(力)(
按)(照)(目)(前)(各)(省)(份)(公)(布)(的)(重)(大)(项)(目)(投)(资)(计)(划)(,21世)(纪)(经)(济)(研)(究)(院)(初)(步)(计)(算)(可)(得)(:今)(年)(全)(国)(重)(大)(项)(目)(投)(资)(金)(额)(至)(少)(达)(到)(10.4万)(亿)(元)(以)(上)(,中)(央)(提)(出)(的)(“预)(算)(内)(投)(资)(安)(排)(5076亿)(元)(”,显)(然)(与)(上)(述)(金)(额)(还)(存)(在)(较)(大)(差)(距)(。
面)(对)(重)(大)(项)(目)(投)(资)(,地)(方)(资)(金)(配)(套)(的)(压)(力)(不)(小)(。甘)(肃)(省)(发)(改)(委)(在)(总)(结)(2016年)(重)(大)(建)(设)(项)(目)(实)(施)(情)(况)(时)(就)(提)(到)(,项)(目)(融)(资)(渠)(道)(单)(一)(仍)(然)(是)(影)(响)(项)(目)(建)(设)(进)(度)(的)(瓶)(颈)(问)(题)(,省)(列)(重)(大)(项)(目)(主)(要)(以)(政)(府)(投)(资)(和)(银)(行)(贷)(款)(为)(主)(,项)(目)(单)(位)(利)(用)(资)(本)(市)(场)(融)(资)(额)(度)(非)(常)(有)(限)(,影)(响)(了)(项)(目)(建)(设)(进)(度)(和)(投)(资)(完)(成)(。
由)(此)(,投)(资)(的)(钱)(从)(哪)(里)(来)(?成)(为)(各)(地)(都)(无)(法)(避)(开)(的)(问)(题)(。
甘)(肃)(省)(2017年)(政)(府)(工)(作)(报)(告)(为)(此)(提)(出)(,要)(建)(立)(市)(场)(准)(入)(负)(面)(清)(单)(制)(度)(,破)(除)(基)(础)(设)(施)(和)(公)(共)(事)(业)(等)(重)(点)(领)(域)(各)(类)(显)(性)(或)(隐)(性)(门)(槛)(,支)(持)(民)(间)(资)(本)(进)(入)(医)(疗)(、养)(老)(、教)(育)(等)(民)(生)(领)(域)(,促)(进)(民)(间)(投)(资)(回)(稳)(向)(好)(。
21世)(纪)(经)(济)(研)(究)(院)(在)(梳)(理)(各)(地)(融)(资)(方)(式)(时)(也)(发)(现)(,各)(省)(就)(“如)(何)(多)(渠)(道)(筹)(集)(项)(目)(资)(金)(”的)(方)(法)(与)(甘)(肃)(类)(似)(,至)(少)(有)(10个)(省)(份)(明)(确)(指)(出)(要)(推)(广)(政)(府)(和)(社)(会)(资)(本)(合)(作)((PPP)模)(式)(。
此)(前)(,外)(界)(对)(PPP的)(最)(大)(担)(忧)(在)(于)(落)(地)(率)(不)(高)(,据)(2月)(13日)(发)(布)(的)(财)(政)(部)(PPP项)(目)(库)(第)(五)(期)(季)(报)(显)(示)(,全)(国)(入)(库)(项)(目)(和)(落)(地)(项)(目)(均)(呈)(逐)(月)(持)(续)(稳)(步)(上)(升)(态)(势)(。
截)(至)(2016年)(四)(季)(度)(,全)(国)(入)(库)(项)(目)(落)(地)(率)(达)(到)(31.6%,较)(去)(年)(1月)(的)(20%有)(较)(大)(提)(升)(。行)(业)(方)(面)(,市)(政)(工)(程)(、交)(通)(运)(输)(、城)(镇)(综)(合)(开)(发)(3类)(入)(库)(项)(目)(数)(居)(前)(3名)(,合)(计)(占)(入)(库)(总)(数)(的)(54%,这)(一)(数)(据)(与)(各)(地)(在)(重)(大)(项)(目)(投)(资)(上)(寻)(求)(PPP模)(式)(的)(现)(状)(相)(契)(合)(,同)(时)(也)(印)(证)(了)(其)(可)(行)(性)(。
以)(目)(前)(PPP项)(目)(入)(库)(数)(量)(最)(多)(的)(贵)(州)(省)(为)(例)(,2017年)(贵)(州)(首)(批)(集)(中)(签)(约)(的)(PPP项)(目)(计)(划)(总)(投)(资)(近)(300亿)(元)(,项)(目)(覆)(盖)(交)(通)(运)(输)(、市)(政)(工)(程)(、农)(业)(等)(多)(个)(领)(域)(。其)(中)(,计)(划)(引)(入)(社)(会)(投)(资)(的)(份)(额)(达)(到)(66%。
另)(外)(,组)(建)(产)(业)(基)(金)(等)(政)(府)(投)(资)(基)(金)(、探)(索)(新)(型)(金)(融)(机)(构)(支)(持)(项)(目)(建)(设)(、完)(善)(政)(银)(企)(合)(作)(机)(制)(、做)(大)(用)(好)(各)(类)(投)(资)(基)(金)(等)(,也)(成)(为)(各)(地)(融)(资)(的)(新)(方)(法)(。
21世)(纪)(经)(济)(研)(究)(院)(认)(为)(,各)(地)(在)(2017年)(将)(强)(化)(基)(础)(设)(施)(投)(资)(和)(补)(短)(板)(投)(资)(作)(为)(稳)(增)(长)(的)(主)(要)(手)(段)(,尤)(其)(在)(国)(家)(对)(房)(地)(产)(市)(场)(的)(新)(一)(轮)(调)(控)(下)(,产)(业)(项)(目)(投)(资)(的)(大)(幅)(增)(加)(有)(望)(对)(冲)(房)(地)(产)(投)(资)(增)(速)(的)(下)(滑)(。在)(财)(政)(扩)(张)(空)(间)(有)(限)(的)(情)(况)(下)(,随)(着)(PPP模)(式)(的)(推)(广)(、政)(策)(的)(完)(善)(,重)(大)(项)(目)(投)(资)(将)(更)(多)(寄)(望)(于)(该)(类)(创)(新)(融)(资)(工)(具)(。
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